M/LSTM-GRU Hybrid Model for Solar Radiation Estimation

Authors

  • Kübra Kaysal Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey
  • Fatih Onur Hocaoğlu Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey
  • Ahmet Haşim Yurttakal Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey
  • Hasan Erbay Ostim Technical University, Turkey

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.7546/CRABS.2025.06.12

Keywords:

solar radiation, estimation, M/LSTM-GRU

Abstract

Solar energy is acknowledged as an environmentally friendly and clean renewable energy source, making it a crucial research topic. Estimation of the future radiation levels before and during the use of this source is vital for proper planning and operation of a photovoltaic (PV) system. In this study, a solar energy forecasting method was developed, utilizing both Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Units models. The performance of the developed method was tested using various metrics on real-time, multivariate solar radiation data from a specific region in Turkey. Examining the results reveals lower RMSE, MSE, MAE performance values and higher $R^2$ values compared to many similar studies in the literature. This indicates the success of the proposed model, positioning it as a viable alternative.

Author Biographies

Kübra Kaysal, Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey

Mailing Address:
Department of Electrical-Electronics Engineering,
Faculty of Engineering, Afyon Kocatepe University,
03200, Afyonkarahisar, Turkey

E-mail: kkaysal@aku.edu.tr

Fatih Onur Hocaoğlu, Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey

Mailing Address:
Department of Electrical Engineering,
Faculty of Engineering, Afyon Kocatepe University,
03200, Afyonkarahisar, Turkey

E-mail: fohocaoglu@gmail.com

Ahmet Haşim Yurttakal, Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey

Mailing Address:
Department of Computer Engineering,
Faculty of Engineering, Afyon Kocatepe University,
03200, Afyonkarahisar, Turkey

E-mail: ahyurttakal@aku.edu.tr

Hasan Erbay, Ostim Technical University, Turkey

Mailing Address:
Department of Computer Engineering,
Faculty of Engineering, Ostim Technical University,
06374, Ankara, Turkey

E-mail: hasan.erbay@ostimteknik.edu.tr

Downloads

Published

29-06-2025

How to Cite

[1]
K. Kaysal, F. Hocaoğlu, A. Yurttakal, and H. Erbay, “M/LSTM-GRU Hybrid Model for Solar Radiation Estimation”, C. R. Acad. Bulg. Sci., vol. 78, no. 6, pp. 894–903, Jun. 2025.

Issue

Section

Engineering Sciences